The illogical economics of health care

Atul Gawande writes of one medical innovation that threatens to bankrupt the innovators:

Recently, clinicians at Children’s Hospital Boston adopted a more systematic approach for managing inner-city children who suffer severe asthma attacks, by introducing a bundle of preventive measures. Insurance would cover just one: prescribing an inhaler. The hospital agreed to pay for the rest, which included nurses who would visit parents after discharge and make sure that they had their child’s medicine, knew how to administer it, and had a follow-up appointment with a pediatrician; home inspections for mold and pests; and vacuum cleaners for families without one (which is cheaper than medication). After a year, the hospital readmission rate for these patients dropped by more than eighty per cent, and costs plunged. But an empty hospital bed is a revenue loss, and asthma is Children’s Hospital’s leading source of admissions. Under the current system, this sensible program could threaten to bankrupt it. So far, neither the government nor the insurance companies have figured out a solution.


The health care reform law tries to encourage such innovations through a new "Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation" where communities can experiment with different payment rules. For example, hospitals could be paid a set amount for asthmatic children regardless of how much treatment the children are provided. But there is no guarantee, of course, that any of this will work mainly because it goes dramatically against the incentives of physicians now to reduce the amount of care. My daughter's eye doctor wanted to check her for glasses three times in a period of six months! When I gently pushed back, I was told that it would be okay to come back in a year. As Gawande notes:

That’s the one truly scary thing about health reform: far from being a government takeover, it counts on local communities and clinicians for success.


Loss aversion at five

S2, the five-year old has just discovered jokes.  "Why did the banana cross the road?," she asked me a few weeks ago, pausing a few seconds before squealing out "because it wanted to be a banana split!" She tried out the joke on every adult she met for the next few days and that got her hankering for a banana split.  I promised her that I would get her a banana split if she did well at a forthcoming piano audition. She did do well today, and so we took the kids to Braum's.

S1, the eight-year old, decided that he wanted a strawberry shortcake. "I too want a strawberry shortcake," said S2.

"But," I protested, "you've been looking forward to a banana split for a month!"

"I want to get the same thing as S1," she said.  So, strawberry shortcake it was.

"You need to do what you want to do," I suggested, "and not just change your mind because S1 is doing something different." 

"But I want to taste what S1 is having."

"S1 would have let you have a spoon of his ice cream if you'd asked him.  You didn't need to also get the same thing."

"What if I have a taste of his ice cream and it is way, way better than mine?"

Becoming Africa?

A friend who also grew up in Africa, remarking on the threats to Democrats after the health-care vote, worried:  "This is becoming just like Africa."

I was 10 years old when I lived through my first coup d'etat.  The angry rhetoric, tweets about cross-hairs and reloading, bricks through windows, etc. do not quite match to the sense of foreboding and dread that precedes all hell breaking loose. 

So, no, we are not becoming Africa. But we need to watch it.  It won't take much.

Nutritional labeling coming soon to a restaurant near you

The health care bill that was recently passed has many, many cost control measures. Pretty much anything that anybody has suggested (tort reform being an obvious exception) is in the bill. They won't all work, but some of them will.

One of the ideas is that if restaurants post nutrition information, restaurants will be forced to use healthier ingredients because their customers will be able to do comparisons. The theory is that this will lead to better public health, and thus lower health care inflation (the link is from 2003: it took this health reform bill to make it law). The theory itself is debatable -- one study found that many customers will order the high-calorie items under a mistaken belief that they are a better deal. However, many more studies with larger samples have found that people eat healthier because of nutritional labels on processed foods. Any how, restaurants have to post calorie counts for all their meals. Who knows? It might make us healthier and bring health costs down. The cost to a restaurant chain? $200 per menu item. Peanuts in other words (Restaurants with fewer than 20 locations are exempted).

A very simple reform, right? Restaurants have to post the nutritional value of their meals and what percentage the fat content (for example) is of the USDA daily recommendation. Well, this is how the actual law looks. This is because all laws amend earlier laws. Laws are extremely hard to read, so the right-wing demagoguery against bills that are thousands of pages long is quite disingenuous.

I, for one, am looking forward to seeing nutritional labels at restaurants soon.

P.S. The National Restaurant Association is in favor. They'd rather have a national law than deal with a California law and a New York law each of which is different -- another example of how the Democrats bought off every interest group in advance.

The silver lining

The BBC reports:
"A receding hairline can be a good thing, according to US scientists, who say men who go bald by 30 appear to be less likely to develop prostate cancer."

A totally desi place

How full of desis are the New Jersey suburbs of New York City? So full that even the perverts are desis:

He's been going up behind females who were waiting for the bus or just walking and just urinating on the back of their leg. According to WPIX, Nitinkuma Patel was nabbed after a plainsclothes police officer saw him peeing on a 16-year-old girl at a bus stop. Patel allegedly would strike "between the hours of 7 a.m. and 9 a.m., when young women were headed to work and school," targeting females in their teens to early 30s.

Deja vu all over again

Long-time readers will remember last winter's mailbox saga. I went to pick up the newspaper this morning when I noticed this:

There are no tire marks this time. No cringing person showed up on our doorstep last night. The top of the mailbox is not by the curb either. This one's probably a deliberate act of vandalism.
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